Wednesday, October 30, 2013
Well lots of talk about diplomatic breakthroughs lately. These have some observers already speculating about a different Near East. I can say this: modern peace is based upon interests of industries and States. You find an equilibrium that suits all parties well enough. Modus vivendi. On that basis there is little chance: none of the actors and industries want peace enough. But a postmodern peace is de-referenced peace. Interests would not drive it. So it is always more possible than modern peace. But are we there now? Answer: not yet. Need more media 'peace' hype and more regime 'peace' hype. Enough of that, for long enough will overwhelm the old modern (anti-)peace model in this case.
Sunday, October 6, 2013
Fake, fake and more fake means gearing for a resurrection of some real politics. This show about a government crisis is not even convincing acting. No Oscars here. But you can bet that when the dust settles more austerity will be negotiated. It was the goal from the start but there was no excuse to do it. Now the Prezident can appear reasonable when benefits for seniors are cut and tax breaks handed out to the more fortunate. More interesting perhaps, is how policy is conducted nowadays: by overblown virtuality (and theatrics). As the Virtual world becomes more prominent, (e.g. drone wars fought on monitors not tanks or amphibious landings like D-day, wall street not main street, facebook not bars, amazon not jc penny, etc.), physical politics is diminishing. More and more, politicians seek ways to work through the virtual (they must!) in order to impact upon physical politics (Machiavelli, power, deal-making, constituency services, etc.). But their effort will fail. No, physical politics will not disappear but the Virtual space is becoming less and less connected to it. Soon politicos will not be able to make changes, no matter how much they holler on Sunday morning talk shows.